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Red96
770941.9
907914.9
872536.1
Blue126
608328.6
816919.8
763260.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8311905010015020096126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+22
Endgame+32
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave6
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points31
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +11
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points43
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
64Total teleop75
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#3
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +30
2Foul points0
96Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.90.2
38.638.8
Auto11.6
Teleop28.5
End1.7
blue by 18.8
60.70.5
59.259.7
Auto15.1
Teleop38.3
End7.2
Second
8725
#16
36.10.2
32.833.0
Auto5.3
Teleop28.6
End2.2
red by 7.5
6083
#12
28.60.5
27.127.6
Auto7.3
Teleop17.8
End3.5
Third
9079
#19
14.90.2
11.611.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End3.3
blue by 4.9
8169
#28
19.80.5
18.318.8
Auto4.0
Teleop15.7
End0.1