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Red73
699837.4
767313.2
942738.2
Blue105
950131.4
859526.7
880626.6
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98966070809011012013073105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+38
Endgame+40
Fouls+32
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +52
5Coral scored#16
18Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
32Total teleop84
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#6
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +32
14Foul points6
73Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.6
38.037.4
Auto8.1
Teleop26.9
End3.2
red by 6.8
9501
#10
31.40.3
32.032.3
Auto5.7
Teleop23.7
End2.1
Second
6998
#11
37.40.6
37.336.6
Auto6.2
Teleop27.1
End4.1
red by 10.7
8595
#22
26.70.3
27.327.6
Auto6.8
Teleop16.9
End2.9
Third
7673
#14
13.20.7
13.012.3
Auto2.3
Teleop9.6
End1.2
blue by 13.5
26.60.3
27.227.5
Auto3.8
Teleop18.3
End4.5