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Red141
159245.9
402073.2
500236.7
Blue114
285617.1
1047957.7
742845.6
95%Model gave it5%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17110050150200250141114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+17Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
18Coral scored#17
63Coral points60
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
87Total teleop88
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#5
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
141Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.20.7
65.164.4
Auto22.1
Teleop43.7
End7.4
red by 15.4
57.71.0
33.434.4
Auto11.7
Teleop38.5
End7.5
Second
1592
#12
45.90.8
41.440.6
Auto5.0
Teleop30.3
End10.6
red by 0.3
7428
#24
45.60.7
39.440.1
Auto7.4
Teleop32.5
End5.7
Third
5002
#17
36.70.7
34.133.4
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End4.3
red by 19.6
2856
#37
17.11.2
19.020.2
Auto3.3
Teleop13.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned