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Red124
313920.8
406550.2
80151.3
Blue132
1010117.0
857063.3
2137.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061166080100140160180124132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+2Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave0
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points28
30Total auto28
Teleoperatedlevel
16Coral scored#18
56Coral points66
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
80Total teleop80
Reef
8L4#10
4L3#8
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
124Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#26
51.31.6
45.046.6
Auto14.2
Teleop34.4
End2.7
blue by 12.0
8570
#10
63.32.3
55.657.9
Auto13.8
Teleop39.4
End10.1
Second
4065
#13
50.21.8
38.740.5
Auto15.1
Teleop29.1
End6.0
red by 13.1
21
#16
37.11.9
31.433.3
Auto8.9
Teleop20.8
End7.4
Third
3139
#36
20.81.6
12.213.9
Auto3.7
Teleop14.8
End2.3
red by 3.8
17.01.9
13.515.4
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned