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Red144
101427.1
349229.6
651747.9
Blue138
430614.2
239340.7
393765.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88119050100150200250144138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
Teleop+8
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave0
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points15
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +23
13Coral scored#24
48Coral points87
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
24Processor points12
16Net points12
40Algae points24
88Total teleop111
Reef
6L4#11
6L3#8
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#32
BargeRed +14
26Cage & park12
26Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
144Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.93.7
33.236.9
Auto10.4
Teleop27.9
End9.6
blue by 17.2
3937
#18
65.11.8
57.459.2
Auto12.0
Teleop44.5
End8.6
Second
3492
#23
29.64.5
27.832.3
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End0.7
blue by 11.1
2393
#22
40.73.1
25.128.2
Auto8.8
Teleop28.7
End3.2
Third
1014
#19
27.14.1
16.820.9
Auto5.9
Teleop15.1
End6.2
red by 12.9
4306
#44
14.23.1
16.719.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned38%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed