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Red124
382436.2
446753.2
1013714.4
Blue67
430614.2
742845.6
450416.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90845060708010011012013012467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+45Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points4
23Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +32
15Coral scored#10
53Coral points35
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
75Total teleop43
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
124Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.23.0
38.241.2
Auto12.5
Teleop33.7
End7.0
red by 7.6
7428
#24
45.60.7
40.139.4
Auto7.4
Teleop32.5
End5.7
Second
3824
#21
36.23.0
28.731.7
Auto7.7
Teleop22.0
End6.5
red by 20.0
4504
#46
16.21.1
17.316.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.9
End0.3
Third
14.45.0
12.317.2
Auto6.2
Teleop6.1
End2.1
red by 0.1
4306
#44
14.21.1
19.818.7
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned