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Red97
384328.3
23358.7
450416.2
Blue98
382120.9
584764.6
581619.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9894607080901101201309798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +16
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points49
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
6Processor points18
12Net points20
18Algae points38
71Total teleop87
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
97Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#7
58.70.3
53.754.0
Auto11.8
Teleop41.0
End5.9
blue by 5.9
64.60.3
49.249.5
Auto13.2
Teleop49.2
End2.2
Second
3843
#14
28.30.3
12.312.6
Auto5.1
Teleop17.5
End5.7
red by 7.4
3821
#31
20.90.5
17.417.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End2.7
Third
4504
#46
16.20.5
18.018.5
Auto3.0
Teleop12.9
End0.3
blue by 3.6
5816
#33
19.70.4
18.518.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed