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Red17
393765.1
915212.4
53817.6
Blue98
396648.9
966814.5
159245.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119106204060801401601798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+69
Endgame+81
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +66
2Coral scored#12
8Coral points42
0Processor algae#4
1Net algae#3
0Processor points24
4Net points12
4Algae points36
12Total teleop78
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#3
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points0
17Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#18
65.16.0
63.357.4
Auto12.0
Teleop44.5
End8.6
red by 16.2
3966
#11
48.90.0
30.630.6
Auto12.4
Teleop33.0
End3.6
Second
538
#32
17.66.6
18.011.4
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End1.8
blue by 28.3
1592
#12
45.90.0
41.441.4
Auto5.0
Teleop30.3
End10.6
Third
9152
#29
12.410.0
17.67.6
Auto1.2
Teleop7.9
End3.2
blue by 2.2
9668
#34
14.50.0
16.516.6
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned