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Red165
426544.8
1047957.7
446753.2
Blue126
80151.3
748324.3
314036.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989480120140160165126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+27Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +17
21Coral scored#20
76Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
12Processor points12
28Net points16
40Algae points28
116Total teleop99
Reef
10L4#6
5L3#8
5L2#6
6L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#30
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
165Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.76.4
27.033.4
Auto11.7
Teleop38.5
End7.5
red by 6.4
801
#26
51.32.2
42.845.0
Auto14.2
Teleop34.4
End2.7
Second
53.24.5
32.436.9
Auto12.5
Teleop33.7
End7.0
red by 16.4
3140
#28
36.82.0
25.727.7
Auto3.8
Teleop31.3
End1.7
Third
44.84.9
27.532.5
Auto11.3
Teleop27.8
End5.7
red by 20.5
7483
#25
24.31.8
19.120.9
Auto5.6
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed