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Red134
651747.9
707240.6
742845.6
Blue105
725514.1
261445.4
857063.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10113550150200250134105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+19Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
9Leave6
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points15
37Total auto21
TeleoperatedRed +3
13Coral scored#13
45Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
73Total teleop70
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#4
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
134Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.92.1
31.133.2
Auto10.4
Teleop27.9
End9.6
blue by 15.4
8570
#10
63.32.2
57.755.6
Auto13.8
Teleop39.4
End10.1
Second
7428
#24
45.61.9
37.539.4
Auto7.4
Teleop32.5
End5.7
red by 0.2
2614
#20
45.42.2
44.442.3
Auto11.4
Teleop29.6
End4.4
Third
40.62.1
25.327.5
Auto14.2
Teleop20.7
End5.7
red by 26.5
7255
#35
14.11.6
16.014.4
Auto2.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned