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Red61
1010117.0
170841.2
349229.6
Blue86
239340.7
285617.1
500236.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions928440601001201406186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+23
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +23
8Coral scored#15
28Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
50Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
61Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1708
#39
41.22.3
38.536.2
Auto5.1
Teleop33.5
End2.6
red by 0.5
2393
#22
40.70.8
24.325.1
Auto8.8
Teleop28.7
End3.2
Second
3492
#23
29.62.3
30.127.8
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End0.7
blue by 7.1
5002
#17
36.70.5
33.634.1
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End4.3
Third
17.01.7
15.213.5
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End3.5
blue by 0.1
2856
#37
17.10.8
18.119.0
Auto3.3
Teleop13.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed