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Red58
101427.1
406550.2
1026912.8
Blue49
581619.7
313920.8
1013714.4
79%Model gave it21%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions965401502005849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
26Total auto9
Teleoperatedlevel
5Coral scored#6
18Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
28Total teleop28
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points8
58Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4065
#13
50.22.6
41.338.7
Auto15.1
Teleop29.1
End6.0
red by 29.4
3139
#36
20.81.7
13.912.2
Auto3.7
Teleop14.8
End2.3
Second
1014
#19
27.12.4
19.216.8
Auto5.9
Teleop15.1
End6.2
red by 7.4
5816
#33
19.71.5
18.817.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End-0.1
Third
12.81.8
12.814.5
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End2.5
blue by 1.6
14.41.2
14.415.5
Auto6.2
Teleop6.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed