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Red123
314036.8
500236.7
1010117.0
Blue80
450416.2
101427.1
725514.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions966505015012380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+41Teleop
+31Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +38
18Coral scored#13
66Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
98Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#2
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
12Foul points0
123Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
#28
36.80.7
29.129.8
Auto3.8
Teleop31.3
End1.7
red by 9.7
1014
#19
27.10.0
26.126.1
Auto5.9
Teleop15.1
End6.2
Second
5002
#17
36.70.7
33.834.5
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End4.3
red by 20.6
4504
#46
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.9
End0.3
Third
17.00.7
16.016.7
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End3.5
red by 2.9
7255
#35
14.10.0
16.716.7
Auto2.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned