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Qual 332025 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red98
384328.3
313920.8
857063.3
Blue154
23358.7
1047957.7
159245.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031655015020025098154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+44
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +12
9Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points24
18Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +32
13Coral scored#19
46Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#6
12Processor points6
8Net points24
20Algae points30
66Total teleop98
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#8
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
98Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8570
#10
63.30.3
62.8→62.5
Auto13.8
Teleop39.4
End10.1
red by 4.6
233
#7
58.70.5
53.6→54.2
Auto11.8
Teleop41.0
End5.9
Second
3843
#14
28.30.3
16.8→16.5
Auto5.1
Teleop17.5
End5.7
blue by 29.4
10479
#1
57.70.5
38.7→39.2
Auto11.7
Teleop38.5
End7.5
Third
3139
#36
20.80.3
15.1→14.8
Auto3.7
Teleop14.8
End2.3
blue by 25.1
1592
#12
45.90.5
44.7→45.3
Auto5.0
Teleop30.3
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed63%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned