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Red128
396648.9
742845.6
239340.7
Blue141
463018.1
426544.8
350438.0
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1368750100150200128141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+19
Endgame+19
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points31
30Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +9
11Coral scored#15
40Coral points53
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#2
12Processor points24
24Net points8
36Algae points32
76Total teleop85
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#6
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
6Foul points0
128Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3966
#11
48.90.4
36.637.1
Auto12.4
Teleop33.0
End3.6
red by 4.1
44.83.9
37.441.3
Auto11.3
Teleop27.8
End5.7
Second
7428
#24
45.60.4
42.843.3
Auto7.4
Teleop32.5
End5.7
red by 7.6
38.03.9
31.135.0
Auto11.2
Teleop22.0
End4.9
Third
2393
#22
40.70.7
36.136.8
Auto8.8
Teleop28.7
End3.2
red by 22.6
4630
#38
18.16.4
14.521.0
Auto6.2
Teleop9.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned