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Red44
748324.3
915212.4
966814.5
Blue106
382436.2
651747.9
430614.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44107015020044106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+54
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
6Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +33
6Coral scored#15
22Coral points53
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
32Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
44Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7483
#25
24.30.5
20.620.1
Auto5.6
Teleop16.2
End2.5
blue by 23.6
47.90.8
40.541.2
Auto10.4
Teleop27.9
End9.6
Second
9668
#34
14.50.5
13.713.2
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End1.1
blue by 21.7
3824
#21
36.20.8
29.630.3
Auto7.7
Teleop22.0
End6.5
Third
9152
#29
12.40.8
8.67.8
Auto1.2
Teleop7.9
End3.2
blue by 1.9
4306
#44
14.21.3
16.117.3
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned