Skip to content
Qual 382025 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red133
581619.7
398423.0
500236.7
Blue149
146632.1
1013714.4
402073.2
3%Model gave it97%
Watch on YouTube ↗Stand-in video — match videos aren't synced yet.
Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7413550100150200133149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+22
Endgame+22
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points28
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +8
13Coral scored#17
46Coral points60
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
18Processor points12
24Net points24
42Algae points36
88Total teleop96
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#7
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
6Foul points0
133Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5002
#17
36.73.3
34.5→37.9
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End4.3
blue by 36.4
4020
#2
73.22.1
64.6→66.7
Auto22.1
Teleop43.7
End7.4
Second
3984
#45
23.03.3
18.2→21.5
Auto4.2
Teleop15.8
End3.0
blue by 9.1
1466
#30
32.12.1
29.3→31.4
Auto5.8
Teleop24.9
End1.5
Third
5816
#33
19.73.3
16.3→19.6
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End-0.1
red by 5.4
10137
#40
14.43.5
14.7→18.1
Auto6.2
Teleop6.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned