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Red125
574419.0
80151.3
170841.2
Blue157
584764.6
406550.2
504519.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11013380100120140160180125157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+32
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points31
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +11
17Coral scored#22
61Coral points80
1Processor algae#3
7Net algae#2
6Processor points18
28Net points8
34Algae points26
95Total teleop106
Reef
7L4#14
6L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#6
27Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
125Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#26
51.30.3
49.549.8
Auto14.2
Teleop34.4
End2.7
blue by 13.3
64.60.9
56.757.6
Auto13.2
Teleop49.2
End2.2
Second
1708
#39
41.20.3
38.839.1
Auto5.1
Teleop33.5
End2.6
blue by 9.0
4065
#13
50.20.9
43.043.9
Auto15.1
Teleop29.1
End6.0
Third
5744
#27
19.00.6
10.611.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End3.7
blue by 0.9
5045
#42
19.90.9
16.417.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned