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Red135
350438.0
382436.2
261445.4
Blue156
314036.8
384328.3
1047957.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12296050150200250135156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+27
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +36
17Coral scored#25
61Coral points91
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
83Total teleop119
Reef
8L4#11
6L3#8
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#35
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
6Foul points0
135Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#20
45.40.5
42.943.4
Auto11.4
Teleop29.6
End4.4
blue by 12.4
57.73.8
39.242.9
Auto11.7
Teleop38.5
End7.5
Second
38.00.5
35.035.4
Auto11.2
Teleop22.0
End4.9
red by 1.2
3140
#28
36.83.8
29.833.5
Auto3.8
Teleop31.3
End1.7
Third
3824
#21
36.20.5
30.330.8
Auto7.7
Teleop22.0
End6.5
red by 7.9
3843
#14
28.33.8
16.520.2
Auto5.1
Teleop17.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned