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Red84
426544.8
2137.1
725514.1
Blue42
53817.6
430614.2
285617.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1135301001502008442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+46Teleop
+46Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave0
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +22
8Coral scored#3
28Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
38Total teleop16
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
2Foul points6
84Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.81.1
41.340.2
Auto11.3
Teleop27.8
End5.7
red by 27.2
538
#32
17.61.5
16.014.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End1.8
Second
21
#16
37.11.1
35.134.0
Auto8.9
Teleop20.8
End7.4
red by 20.0
2856
#37
17.12.5
19.516.9
Auto3.3
Teleop13.0
End0.9
Third
7255
#35
14.11.1
16.715.6
Auto2.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
blue by 0.1
4306
#44
14.22.5
17.314.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsEarned