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Red79
313920.8
450416.2
146632.1
Blue175
349229.6
748324.3
402073.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641455010020079175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+80
Endgame+96
Fouls+96
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave3
1Coral scored#6
4Coral points31
13Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +59
12Coral scored#25
42Coral points91
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
66Total teleop125
Reef
3L4#14
5L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
18Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +96
0Foul points0
79Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#30
32.10.4
31.431.8
Auto5.8
Teleop24.9
End1.5
blue by 41.0
73.22.8
66.769.5
Auto22.1
Teleop43.7
End7.4
Second
3139
#36
20.80.4
14.815.2
Auto3.7
Teleop14.8
End2.3
blue by 8.8
3492
#23
29.62.8
31.534.3
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End0.7
Third
4504
#46
16.20.7
14.715.4
Auto3.0
Teleop12.9
End0.3
blue by 8.2
7483
#25
24.32.8
20.122.9
Auto5.6
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned