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Red138
574419.0
23358.7
396648.9
Blue117
1013714.4
651747.9
170841.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11611005001,0001,5002,000138117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +14
15Coral scored#16
54Coral points58
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
92Total teleop78
Reef
10L4#6
4L3#7
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
138Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#7
58.72.2
54.256.4
Auto11.8
Teleop41.0
End5.9
red by 10.7
47.91.0
41.242.3
Auto10.4
Teleop27.9
End9.6
Second
3966
#11
48.92.2
37.139.3
Auto12.4
Teleop33.0
End3.6
red by 7.7
1708
#39
41.21.0
39.140.2
Auto5.1
Teleop33.5
End2.6
Third
5744
#27
19.03.7
11.214.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End3.7
red by 4.6
14.41.7
18.119.9
Auto6.2
Teleop6.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned