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Red72
382120.9
384328.3
463018.1
Blue119
406550.2
725514.1
349229.6
12%Model gave it88%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6411105010015020072119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+55
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +58
9Coral scored#19
34Coral points70
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
6Processor points12
8Net points24
14Algae points36
48Total teleop106
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#6
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#27
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
72Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3843
#14
28.30.0
20.620.6
Auto5.1
Teleop17.5
End5.7
blue by 21.9
4065
#13
50.20.8
44.145.0
Auto15.1
Teleop29.1
End6.0
Second
3821
#31
20.90.0
18.418.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End2.7
blue by 8.7
3492
#23
29.60.8
33.134.0
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End0.7
Third
4630
#38
18.10.0
19.019.0
Auto6.2
Teleop9.7
End2.2
red by 4.0
7255
#35
14.10.8
15.115.9
Auto2.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed