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Red109
239340.7
450416.2
159245.9
Blue133
966814.5
332434.1
1047957.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12610350150200109133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+32
Endgame+22
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +18
14Coral scored#18
51Coral points63
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
79Total teleop97
Reef
6L4#10
4L3#4
2L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points2
109Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#12
45.90.3
44.243.9
Auto5.0
Teleop30.3
End10.6
blue by 11.8
57.72.1
45.047.0
Auto11.7
Teleop38.5
End7.5
Second
2393
#22
40.70.4
40.440.0
Auto8.8
Teleop28.7
End3.2
red by 6.6
3324
#15
34.12.1
27.930.0
Auto7.1
Teleop27.4
End-0.4
Third
4504
#46
16.20.4
16.616.1
Auto3.0
Teleop12.9
End0.3
red by 1.6
9668
#34
14.52.1
15.117.1
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed