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Red108
500236.7
1013714.4
857063.3
Blue142
261445.4
53817.6
446753.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13911050100150200108142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+46
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +2
6Leave3
4Coral scored#5
22Coral points27
28Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +44
8Coral scored#19
30Coral points68
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
54Total teleop98
Reef
3L4#8
4L3#6
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
17Game pieces#30
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
108Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8570
#10
63.31.4
64.963.5
Auto13.8
Teleop39.4
End10.1
red by 10.1
53.22.2
44.046.1
Auto12.5
Teleop33.7
End7.0
Second
5002
#17
36.71.4
38.136.7
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End4.3
blue by 8.6
2614
#20
45.42.2
43.145.3
Auto11.4
Teleop29.6
End4.4
Third
14.42.2
17.915.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.1
End2.1
blue by 3.2
538
#32
17.62.2
13.916.1
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned