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Red118
80151.3
915212.4
23358.7
Blue91
350438.0
101427.1
457622.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1509105020025011891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+37Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points20
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +33
15Coral scored#10
53Coral points36
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
87Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#4
8L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
118Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#7
58.70.4
59.459.1
Auto11.8
Teleop41.0
End5.9
red by 20.7
38.00.4
34.334.7
Auto11.2
Teleop22.0
End4.9
Second
801
#26
51.30.4
50.950.5
Auto14.2
Teleop34.4
End2.7
red by 24.2
1014
#19
27.10.4
24.124.5
Auto5.9
Teleop15.1
End6.2
Third
9152
#29
12.40.6
7.77.1
Auto1.2
Teleop7.9
End3.2
blue by 10.2
4576
#43
22.50.4
20.821.2
Auto5.5
Teleop15.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned