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Red97
2137.1
170841.2
384328.3
Blue73
748324.3
742845.6
1010117.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107924060801001201401601809773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+16Teleop
+28Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
9Coral scored#9
34Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
56Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
2Foul points6
97Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1708
#39
41.20.1
39.739.7
Auto5.1
Teleop33.5
End2.6
blue by 4.4
7428
#24
45.61.1
44.143.0
Auto7.4
Teleop32.5
End5.7
Second
21
#16
37.10.1
34.034.0
Auto8.9
Teleop20.8
End7.4
red by 12.8
7483
#25
24.31.1
23.322.1
Auto5.6
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Third
3843
#14
28.30.1
20.620.6
Auto5.1
Teleop17.5
End5.7
red by 11.3
17.01.1
16.815.6
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed