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Red195
285617.1
584764.6
857063.3
Blue93
382436.2
382120.9
398423.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1627105010015020025019593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+26Auto
+104Teleop
+102Endgame
+102Fouls
AutonomousRed +26
3Leave0
7Coral scored#2
35Coral points12
38Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +78
24Coral scored#11
87Coral points41
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
24Processor points12
32Net points12
56Algae points24
143Total teleop65
Reef
11L4#4
8L3#5
6L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
43Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +102
0Foul points0
195Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.63.0
59.562.5
Auto13.2
Teleop49.2
End2.2
red by 28.4
3824
#21
36.20.5
34.434.9
Auto7.7
Teleop22.0
End6.5
Second
8570
#10
63.33.0
63.566.5
Auto13.8
Teleop39.4
End10.1
red by 40.3
3984
#45
23.00.5
21.922.4
Auto4.2
Teleop15.8
End3.0
Third
2856
#37
17.14.3
16.220.5
Auto3.3
Teleop13.0
End0.9
blue by 3.8
3821
#31
20.90.7
18.419.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned