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Red127
349229.6
146632.1
23358.7
Blue129
101427.1
396648.9
915212.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15678050100200250127129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +14
16Coral scored#19
57Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
77Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#7
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points6
127Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#7
58.71.2
59.157.9
Auto11.8
Teleop41.0
End5.9
red by 9.8
3966
#11
48.92.6
41.143.7
Auto12.4
Teleop33.0
End3.6
Second
1466
#30
32.11.2
34.333.1
Auto5.8
Teleop24.9
End1.5
red by 5.0
1014
#19
27.12.6
24.527.1
Auto5.9
Teleop15.1
End6.2
Third
3492
#23
29.61.2
34.032.8
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End0.7
red by 17.3
9152
#29
12.43.8
7.110.8
Auto1.2
Teleop7.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned