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Red120
350438.0
314036.8
382120.9
Blue92
313920.8
53817.6
651747.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1068605015020012092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+38Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +31
15Coral scored#11
53Coral points40
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
91Total teleop60
Reef
4L4#3
7L3#5
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
120Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.01.6
34.736.3
Auto11.2
Teleop22.0
End4.9
blue by 9.9
47.90.6
43.544.2
Auto10.4
Teleop27.9
End9.6
Second
3140
#28
36.81.6
35.537.1
Auto3.8
Teleop31.3
End1.7
red by 16.0
3139
#36
20.80.6
16.717.3
Auto3.7
Teleop14.8
End2.3
Third
3821
#31
20.92.4
19.121.5
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End2.7
red by 3.3
538
#32
17.60.6
16.917.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned