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Red128
398423.0
402073.2
1010117.0
Blue148
384328.3
396648.9
426544.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12012190100110130140150160170128148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+4Teleop
Endgame+16
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points33
27Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +10
18Coral scored#16
65Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
93Total teleop83
Reef
10L4#6
6L3#8
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
2Foul points6
128Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.20.6
73.073.6
Auto22.1
Teleop43.7
End7.4
red by 24.3
3966
#11
48.91.9
43.745.6
Auto12.4
Teleop33.0
End3.6
Second
3984
#45
23.00.6
22.423.0
Auto4.2
Teleop15.8
End3.0
blue by 21.8
44.81.9
43.044.9
Auto11.3
Teleop27.8
End5.7
Third
17.00.6
15.616.2
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End3.5
blue by 11.3
3843
#14
28.31.9
20.622.6
Auto5.1
Teleop17.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned