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Red192
584764.6
574419.0
742845.6
Blue98
261445.4
101427.1
430614.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149995020025019298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+64Teleop
+64Endgame
+94Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +64
18Coral scored#14
63Coral points49
3Processor algae#2
13Net algae#2
18Processor points12
52Net points8
70Algae points20
133Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#5
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +94
30Foul points0
192Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.61.3
62.563.8
Auto13.2
Teleop49.2
End2.2
red by 19.2
2614
#20
45.40.5
46.145.6
Auto11.4
Teleop29.6
End4.4
Second
7428
#24
45.61.3
43.945.2
Auto7.4
Teleop32.5
End5.7
red by 18.5
1014
#19
27.10.5
27.126.5
Auto5.9
Teleop15.1
End6.2
Third
5744
#27
19.01.7
17.319.0
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End3.7
red by 4.8
4306
#44
14.20.7
14.914.2
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsMissed