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Red20
1013714.4
285617.1
725514.1
Blue82
239340.7
146632.1
966814.5
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621150501001502002082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+62
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +52
3Coral scored#12
10Coral points42
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
10Total teleop62
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
20Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2856
#37
17.13.4
20.517.1
Auto3.3
Teleop13.0
End0.9
blue by 23.6
2393
#22
40.71.3
42.040.7
Auto8.8
Teleop28.7
End3.2
Second
14.43.4
17.714.4
Auto6.2
Teleop6.1
End2.1
blue by 17.8
1466
#30
32.11.0
33.132.1
Auto5.8
Teleop24.9
End1.5
Third
7255
#35
14.12.5
16.614.1
Auto2.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
blue by 0.4
9668
#34
14.51.0
15.514.5
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed