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Red158
332434.1
313920.8
396648.9
Blue105
707240.6
500236.7
384328.3
32%Model gave it68%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981126080120140160180158105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+53Teleop
+41Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
23Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +59
22Coral scored#12
79Coral points42
5Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
30Processor points12
12Net points8
42Algae points20
121Total teleop62
Reef
10L4#8
6L3#3
4L2#2
6L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
12Foul points0
158Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3966
#11
48.93.5
45.649.1
Auto12.4
Teleop33.0
End3.6
red by 8.3
40.60.4
39.840.2
Auto14.2
Teleop20.7
End5.7
Second
3324
#15
34.13.5
30.634.1
Auto7.1
Teleop27.4
End-0.4
blue by 2.6
5002
#17
36.70.4
37.137.4
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End4.3
Third
3139
#36
20.83.5
17.320.8
Auto3.7
Teleop14.8
End2.3
blue by 7.5
3843
#14
28.30.4
22.623.0
Auto5.1
Teleop17.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned