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Red101
170841.2
314036.8
450416.2
Blue83
915212.4
2137.1
463018.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1126505010015020010183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+24Teleop
+12Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +31
18Coral scored#9
66Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
84Total teleop53
Reef
9L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#4
4L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
6Foul points0
101Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1708
#39
41.20.3
40.239.8
Auto5.1
Teleop33.5
End2.6
red by 4.1
21
#16
37.11.1
35.536.6
Auto8.9
Teleop20.8
End7.4
Second
3140
#28
36.80.3
37.136.8
Auto3.8
Teleop31.3
End1.7
red by 18.7
4630
#38
18.11.5
16.618.1
Auto6.2
Teleop9.7
End2.2
Third
4504
#46
16.20.4
16.616.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.9
End0.3
red by 3.8
9152
#29
12.41.5
10.812.4
Auto1.2
Teleop7.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned