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Red208
1047957.7
651747.9
406550.2
Blue112
446753.2
457622.5
504519.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1649450150200250208112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+74Teleop
+96Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
8Coral scored#3
40Coral points17
40Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +57
23Coral scored#16
82Coral points57
3Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
18Processor points6
32Net points12
50Algae points18
132Total teleop75
Reef
15L4#8
5L3#5
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#23
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +96
0Foul points0
208Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.73.9
48.552.4
Auto11.7
Teleop38.5
End7.5
red by 4.5
53.20.9
47.047.9
Auto12.5
Teleop33.7
End7.0
Second
4065
#13
50.23.9
45.849.7
Auto15.1
Teleop29.1
End6.0
red by 27.6
4576
#43
22.50.9
21.722.5
Auto5.5
Teleop15.2
End1.8
Third
47.93.9
44.248.1
Auto10.4
Teleop27.9
End9.6
red by 28.1
5045
#42
19.90.9
19.019.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned