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Red0
402073.2
857063.3
349229.6
Blue126
261445.4
393765.1
396648.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1841720501001502002500126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+64Teleop
+66Endgame
Fouls+126
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave3
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points24
36Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +55
27Coral scored#13
96Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
124Total teleop69
Reef
11L4#8
10L3#5
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +126
-186Foul points6
0Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#2DQ
73.20.3
73.673.9
Auto22.1
Teleop43.7
End7.4
red by 8.0
3937
#18
65.11.0
65.364.3
Auto12.0
Teleop44.5
End8.6
Second
8570
#10DQ
63.30.3
63.864.0
Auto13.8
Teleop39.4
End10.1
red by 14.4
3966
#11
48.91.0
49.148.1
Auto12.4
Teleop33.0
End3.6
Third
3492
#23DQ
29.60.3
30.130.4
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End0.7
blue by 15.7
2614
#20
45.41.0
45.644.6
Auto11.4
Teleop29.6
End4.4