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Red0
101427.1
426544.8
651747.9
Blue109
80151.3
742845.6
707240.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331580501002000109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+18Teleop
+30Endgame
Fouls+109
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points35
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +39
19Coral scored#11
70Coral points39
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#4
12Processor points0
12Net points16
24Algae points16
94Total teleop55
Reef
10L4#8
5L3#3
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +109
-133Foul points6
0Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6517
#3DQ
47.90.3
47.447.7
Auto10.4
Teleop27.9
End9.6
blue by 3.3
801
#26
51.30.7
50.950.1
Auto14.2
Teleop34.4
End2.7
Second
4265
#5DQ
44.80.3
44.344.6
Auto11.3
Teleop27.8
End5.7
blue by 0.8
7428
#24
45.60.7
45.244.4
Auto7.4
Teleop32.5
End5.7
Third
1014
#19DQ
27.10.3
26.526.9
Auto5.9
Teleop15.1
End6.2
blue by 13.5
40.60.7
40.239.4
Auto14.2
Teleop20.7
End5.7