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Red140
170841.2
159245.9
382436.2
Blue173
406550.2
2137.1
350438.0
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135136110120130140150160170180140173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+23
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave9
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points35
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +5
18Coral scored#19
66Coral points69
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
18Processor points18
24Net points16
42Algae points34
108Total teleop103
Reef
9L4#10
7L3#8
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
140Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#12
45.90.4
45.545.9
Auto5.0
Teleop30.3
End10.6
blue by 4.3
4065
#13
50.21.1
49.550.6
Auto15.1
Teleop29.1
End6.0
Second
1708
#39
41.20.4
40.841.2
Auto5.1
Teleop33.5
End2.6
red by 3.1
38.01.1
37.438.5
Auto11.2
Teleop22.0
End4.9
Third
3824
#21
36.20.4
35.836.2
Auto7.7
Teleop22.0
End6.5
blue by 0.9
21
#16
37.11.1
36.437.5
Auto8.9
Teleop20.8
End7.4