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Red181
402073.2
857063.3
349229.6
Blue135
101427.1
426544.8
651747.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19212950100150250300181135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+58Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
9Leave9
7Coral scored#3
36Coral points14
45Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +36
19Coral scored#16
68Coral points58
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
24Processor points6
20Net points12
44Algae points18
112Total teleop76
Reef
10L4#9
8L3#4
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
181Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.20.1
73.974.0
Auto22.1
Teleop43.7
End7.4
red by 25.2
47.90.2
47.747.9
Auto10.4
Teleop27.9
End9.6
Second
8570
#10
63.30.1
64.064.2
Auto13.8
Teleop39.4
End10.1
red by 18.5
44.80.2
44.644.8
Auto11.3
Teleop27.8
End5.7
Third
3492
#23
29.60.1
30.430.5
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End0.7
red by 2.5
1014
#19
27.10.2
26.927.1
Auto5.9
Teleop15.1
End6.2