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Red170
446753.2
384328.3
1047957.7
Blue153
1010117.0
23358.7
584764.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137154050100200250300170153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+7Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points27
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +3
22Coral scored#23
78Coral points81
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
106Total teleop109
Reef
13L4#11
8L3#8
6L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
170Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.71.0
53.454.3
Auto11.7
Teleop38.5
End7.5
blue by 6.8
64.60.3
64.164.4
Auto13.2
Teleop49.2
End2.2
Second
53.21.0
48.949.8
Auto12.5
Teleop33.7
End7.0
blue by 5.5
233
#7
58.70.3
58.258.5
Auto11.8
Teleop41.0
End5.9
Third
3843
#14
28.31.0
24.024.9
Auto5.1
Teleop17.5
End5.7
red by 11.3
17.00.3
16.516.8
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End3.5