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Red153
1010117.0
23358.7
584764.6
Blue177
402073.2
857063.3
349229.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151187100200250300153177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+22
Endgame+22
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
6Coral scored#10
31Coral points51
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +8
17Coral scored#23
60Coral points84
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
12Processor points12
28Net points12
40Algae points24
100Total teleop108
Reef
10L4#15
4L3#7
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#6
32Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points2
153Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.60.2
64.464.6
Auto13.2
Teleop49.2
End2.2
blue by 8.6
73.20.0
74.074.0
Auto22.1
Teleop43.7
End7.4
Second
233
#7
58.70.2
58.558.7
Auto11.8
Teleop41.0
End5.9
blue by 4.6
8570
#10
63.30.0
64.264.2
Auto13.8
Teleop39.4
End10.1
Third
17.00.2
16.817.0
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End3.5
blue by 12.6
3492
#23
29.60.0
30.530.5
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End0.7