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Red144
80151.3
742845.6
707240.6
Blue117
406550.2
2137.1
350438.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15713650100200250144117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+53Teleop
+35Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points27
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +46
18Coral scored#10
65Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
101Total teleop55
Reef
12L4#3
4L3#6
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points8
144Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#26
51.30.1
51.251.3
Auto14.2
Teleop34.4
End2.7
red by 1.1
4065
#13
50.20.4
50.650.2
Auto15.1
Teleop29.1
End6.0
Second
7428
#24
45.60.1
45.545.6
Auto7.4
Teleop32.5
End5.7
red by 7.6
38.00.4
38.538.0
Auto11.2
Teleop22.0
End4.9
Third
40.60.1
40.540.6
Auto14.2
Teleop20.7
End5.7
red by 3.5
21
#16
37.10.4
37.537.1
Auto8.9
Teleop20.8
End7.4