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Red148
446753.2
384328.3
1047957.7
Blue141
261445.4
393765.1
396648.9
23%Model gave it77%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13617550100150200250300148141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+3Teleop
+13Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave0
6Coral scored#8
30Coral points41
33Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +11
19Coral scored#19
69Coral points68
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
99Total teleop88
Reef
8L4#14
5L3#5
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points6
148Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.4
54.354.7
Auto11.7
Teleop38.5
End7.5
blue by 7.4
3937
#18
65.10.6
65.364.7
Auto12.0
Teleop44.5
End8.6
Second
53.20.4
49.850.3
Auto12.5
Teleop33.7
End7.0
red by 4.3
3966
#11
48.90.6
49.148.5
Auto12.4
Teleop33.0
End3.6
Third
3843
#14
28.30.4
24.925.3
Auto5.1
Teleop17.5
End5.7
blue by 17.1
2614
#20
45.40.6
45.545.0
Auto11.4
Teleop29.6
End4.4