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Red51
698923.0
817312.4
902432.3
Blue89
902931.0
877716.2
643630.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7084501001505189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+32
Endgame+32
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave6
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
13Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +19
6Coral scored#11
22Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
32Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points6
51Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.4
32.732.3
Auto4.6
Teleop25.5
End2.2
red by 1.3
31.00.1
30.931.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.3
End1.7
Second
23.00.4
23.423.0
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.4
blue by 7.8
30.90.1
30.730.9
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End2.4
Third
8173
#27
12.40.4
12.812.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End0.8
blue by 3.8
8777
#17
16.20.1
16.116.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End3.6