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Red67
698923.0
817312.4
902432.3
Blue84
902931.0
877716.2
643630.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70842040601001201401606784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+15
Endgame+13
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave3
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points23
13Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +2
7Coral scored#9
24Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
46Total teleop48
Reef
2L4#7
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +17
2Foul points6
67Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.1
32.832.7
Auto4.6
Teleop25.5
End2.2
red by 1.3
31.00.0
30.930.9
Auto9.0
Teleop20.3
End1.7
Second
23.00.1
23.523.4
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.4
blue by 7.8
30.90.0
30.730.7
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End2.4
Third
8173
#27
12.40.1
12.912.8
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End0.8
blue by 3.8
8777
#17
16.20.0
16.016.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End3.6