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Red99
902931.0
877716.2
643630.9
Blue85
855726.0
805420.2
1004213.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8459020401001201409985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +6
13Coral scored#10
46Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
60Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points6
99Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.5
30.330.9
Auto9.0
Teleop20.3
End1.7
red by 5.0
26.00.5
25.526.0
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End6.2
Second
30.90.6
30.130.7
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End2.4
red by 10.6
20.20.5
19.820.2
Auto2.7
Teleop15.9
End1.6
Third
8777
#17
16.20.6
15.416.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End3.6
red by 2.4
13.80.5
13.313.8
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End2.3