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Red79
855726.0
805420.2
1004213.8
Blue62
958315.8
805812.0
1014216.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6342020801001201407962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+5Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
11Coral scored#9
40Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
54Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
79Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.5
25.125.5
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End6.2
red by 9.6
16.40.5
16.016.4
Auto3.5
Teleop11.4
End1.5
Second
20.20.5
19.319.8
Auto2.7
Teleop15.9
End1.6
red by 4.5
9583
#21
15.80.4
15.415.8
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
Third
13.80.5
12.813.3
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End2.3
red by 1.9
8058
#18
12.00.4
11.612.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End1.6