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Red68
902931.0
877716.2
643630.9
Blue94
698923.0
817312.4
902432.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827040601001201406894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+10Teleop
Endgame+2
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points11
19Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +8
10Coral scored#9
37Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
47Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points24
68Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.2
30.530.3
Auto9.0
Teleop20.3
End1.7
blue by 1.3
32.30.0
32.832.8
Auto4.6
Teleop25.5
End2.2
Second
30.90.2
30.330.1
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End2.4
red by 7.8
23.00.0
23.523.5
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.4
Third
8777
#17
16.20.2
15.615.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End3.6
red by 3.8
8173
#27
12.40.0
12.912.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End0.8