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Red17
805812.0
817312.4
643011.5
Blue36
947914.3
877716.2
822015.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3961020801001201401601736

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+17
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +14
3Coral scored#6
12Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
0Processor points6
0Net points0
0Algae points6
12Total teleop26
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#1
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
17Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8173
#27
12.42.1
9.77.6
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End0.8
blue by 3.8
8777
#17
16.21.8
17.615.9
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End3.6
Second
8058
#18
12.01.8
10.68.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.6
End1.6
blue by 3.2
8220
#16
15.21.8
17.916.2
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Third
6430
#26
11.52.3
17.014.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End1.7
blue by 2.8
9479
#13
14.31.8
16.314.6
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed